5
Who Says So
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 64
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 86% | +0.03 |
| 31/10/2025 | 4th | 5/4 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 38% | -0.48 |
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |