6

Gimme Two Shots
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 45% | -0.20 |
| 01/05/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 25% | -0.69 |
| 31/05/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 56% | -0.29 |