Goodluck Road
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 70
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 07/11/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |