My Captain
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 71
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -13.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 27/06/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 20/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 22% | -0.49 |