8
Salvo Trigger
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 59
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength3%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/2025 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 05/02/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |