11
Boat's A Rockin
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 88
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 05/04/2026 | 8th | 11/8 | 93% | 0% | -0.93 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 19/07/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |