6
Daufuskie Island
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 6/4 | 92% | 0% | -0.92 |
| 14/08/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 22/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 11/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |