5
Elon
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Penn National | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 21/09/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 19/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 10/05/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |