Island D'lite
6yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-06-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/11/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 09/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 13/07/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 05/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |