Kohoutek
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 86
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 21/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 11% | -0.71 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |