13

Roommate Martin

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Charles Town 03/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 72 · 6f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/05/2025 · OR 72 par3/05C5OR 72C5 @ Charles Town 28/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 74 · 7f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2025 · OR 74 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 57 · 5f 122 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 57 par30/08C8OR 57C7 @ Laurel Park 12/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 57 · 5f110y Fm 123 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 57 parC5 @ Laurel Park 07/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/11/2025 · OR 62 par7/11C5OR 62C5 @ Colonial Downs 28/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 75 · 5f110y Sft 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2026 · OR 75 parC9 @ Colonial Downs 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 77 par23/07C9OR 77C8 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 69 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 69 parC5 @ Colonial Downs 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 75 · 5f110y Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 75 par3/09C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Colonial Downs?4th2nd+2
2026-08-21Colonial Downs?2nd3rd−1
2026-07-23Colonial Downs?5th7th−2
2026-06-28Colonial Downs?7th5th+2
2025-11-07Laurel Park?9th7th+2
2025-10-12Laurel Park?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0512/1023/073/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength71%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20252nd16/116%89%+0.73
28/06/20256th8/158%17%-0.41
30/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
12/10/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
07/11/20259th16/116%27%+0.11
28/06/20267th10/147%25%-0.22
23/07/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
21/08/20262nd9/276%88%+0.11
03/09/20264th25/10%63%+0.63