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Slippin Jimmy

10yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 97

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 80 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/08/2025 · OR 80 par14/08C6OR 80C0 @ Colonial Downs 30/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 117C8 @ Colonial Downs 12/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 93 · 5f110y Fm 121 · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 93 par12/09C8OR 93C7 @ Laurel Park 03/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 96 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 96 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 25/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 88 · 1m Gd 123 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 88 par25/06C8OR 88C8 @ Colonial Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 89 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 89 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 83 · 1m 123 · below its mark08/08/2026 · OR 83 par8/08C8OR 83C8 @ Colonial Downs 21/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fm 122 · below its mark21/08/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 84 · 5f110y 122 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 84 par5/09C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Colonial Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-08-21Colonial Downs?3rd4th−1
2026-08-08Colonial Downs?4th5th−1
2026-07-22Colonial Downs?5th6th−1
2026-06-25Colonial Downs?3rd4th−1
2025-10-03Laurel Park?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/083/108/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20253rd10/147%71%+0.24
30/08/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
12/09/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
03/10/20257th11/271%33%-0.38
25/06/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
22/07/20265th13/266%20%-0.46
08/08/20264th25/10%70%+0.70
21/08/20263rd3/184%75%-0.09
05/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63