Transactional

7yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 70

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#14

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.8

Today:

Class gap: -0.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Laurel Park	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-08-08	Monmouth Park	?	7th	8th	−1	1.8
2026-06-19	Penn National	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-06-12	Penn National	?	4th	5th	−1	4.8
2026-06-03	Penn National	?	8th	6th	+2	3.8
2026-05-20	Presque Isle Downs	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 11-14 · 68%

▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only

Trend▬

Strength1%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
21/09/2025	9th	40/1	0%	20%	+0.20
05/10/2025	6th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
10/10/2025	11th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
20/05/2026	5th	25/1	0%	0%	0.00
03/06/2026	8th	40/1	0%	0%	0.00
12/06/2026	4th	20/1	0%	40%	+0.40
19/06/2026	6th	25/1	0%	17%	+0.17
08/08/2026	7th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
11/09/2026	7th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16