3

Watch Out World

5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 83

Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Laurel Park 15/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 89 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 89 par15/11C5OR 89C7 @ Laurel Park 12/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m110y 123 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 88 parC5 @ Laurel Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 88 par12/04C5OR 88C8 @ Laurel Park 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 83 · 5f110y Gd 126 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 83 parC8 @ Laurel Park 03/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 77 par3/05C8OR 77C8 @ Laurel Park 06/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 95 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Laurel Park 19/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark19/06/2026 · OR 84 par19/06C8OR 84C7 @ Colonial Downs 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 83 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 83 parC7 @ Laurel Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 82 · 5f110y 122 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 82 par13/09C7OR 82projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Laurel Park?6th6th0
2026-07-31Colonial Downs?6th6th0
2026-06-19Laurel Park?5th6th−1
2026-06-06Laurel Park?7th8th−1
2026-05-03Laurel Park?2nd3rd−1
2026-04-26Laurel Park?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1126/0419/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/11/20258th9/153%0%-0.53
12/12/20255th40/10%20%+0.20
12/04/20268th14/126%22%-0.04
26/04/20267th13/266%14%-0.52
03/05/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
06/06/20267th20/10%14%+0.14
19/06/20265th8/158%33%-0.25
31/07/20266th40/10%17%+0.17
13/09/20266th33/10%38%+0.38