Disney Belle
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 07/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 16/01/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |