Law School

3yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 76

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

Rank

Odds

7/5

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength46%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C5.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.2

Higher-class runs: 5

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-17	Delaware Park	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-08-27	Colonial Downs	?	8th	7th	+1	3.2
2026-06-26	Laurel Park	?	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-05-16	Belmont At The Big A	?	5th	4th	+1	6.2
2026-04-18	Laurel Park	?	5th	3rd	+2	7.4
2026-03-21	Laurel Park	?	4th	2nd	+2	8.4

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▬

Strength75%

Delivery trend +0.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
15/11/2025	3rd	10/3	82%	71%	-0.11
07/12/2025	1st	13/8	91%	100%	+0.09
21/02/2026	2nd	6/5	94%	67%	-0.27
21/03/2026	4th	10/3	82%	25%	-0.57
18/04/2026	5th	12/1	37%	43%	+0.06
16/05/2026	5th	5/1	74%	0%	-0.74
26/06/2026	5th	9/2	76%	20%	-0.56
27/08/2026	8th	33/1	0%	0%	0.00
17/09/2026	1st	9/2	76%	100%	+0.24