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4

Kelly's Hardheaded

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 26

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Monmouth Park 08/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS8/08C6
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Monmouth Park?7th4th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength89%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/08/20267th25/10%25%+0.25