Occupy

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 66

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

3/5

Win Prob

96%

Place Prob

73%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▼2

Strength70%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.3

Today:

Class gap: +2.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-30	Colonial Downs	?	2nd	0th	+2	5.0
2026-07-26	Colonial Downs	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength100%

Delivery trend +38.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
26/07/2026	4th	10/3	82%	50%	-0.32
30/08/2026	2nd	10/3	82%	89%	+0.06