Shanghai Rose

2yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 54

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

10%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼3

Strength84%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-09	Delaware Park	?	11th	8th	+3	2.0
2026-08-13	Delaware Park	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0
2026-07-21	Delaware Park	?	4th	1st	+3	9.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▼

Strength0%

Delivery trend -13.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
21/07/2026	4th	15/2	61%	50%	-0.11
13/08/2026	7th	11/2	71%	14%	-0.57
09/09/2026	11th	12/1	37%	0%	-0.37