2

Conspirator
3yo Colt · 9-6
Lyon La Soie · Prix Pietro Handicap - Awt · 1m 208y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Craon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 79% | +0.10 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 07/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/07/2026 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 18% | -0.56 |
| 13/09/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |