4
Fanzi Chop
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Lyon La Soie · Prix Pietro Handicap - Awt · 1m 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 12/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 11% | -0.42 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 16/07/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 31% | -0.11 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 78% | +0.20 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |