8

Ocra
3yo Filly · 8-8
Lyon La Soie · Prix Pietro Handicap - Awt · 1m 208y
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 27/01/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 31% | -0.22 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 17/06/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |