11
Hatedia Fal
3yo Filly · 8-8
Lyon La Soie · Prix Yumpal Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Nancy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |