3
Hordearii
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Lyon La Soie · Prix Yumpal Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#12
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/02/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/09/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/09/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |