6
Maranello
3yo Gelding · 8-11
Lyon La Soie · Prix Yumpal Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Marseille | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 14/01/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 11/02/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 16/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 71% | +0.66 |
| 27/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 11/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 24/08/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |