IvyArcIvyArc
8

Mixed Force

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Lyon La Soie · Prix Yumpal Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 2f 151y

#1

Rank

Odds

14/5

Win Prob

67%

Place Prob

40%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Marseille-borely 13/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12813/10C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12830/10C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 17/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12817/11C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 07/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1287/12C5C5 @ Salon-De-Provence 14/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12314/09C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Salon-De-Provence?13th13th0
2025-12-07Lyon La Soie?1st1st0
2025-11-17Lyon La Soie?3rd3rd0
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?8th8th0
2025-10-13Marseille-borely?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1030/1017/117/1214/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength96%

Delivery trend -8.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/10/20257th40/10%50%+0.50
30/10/20258th16/116%30%+0.14
17/11/20253rd33/10%78%+0.78
07/12/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
14/09/202613th18/15%0%-0.05