11
Agoureil
7yo Gelding · 8-11
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |
| 11/03/2026 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 29/04/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 13/06/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |