6
Arturo
7yo Gelding · 9-7
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-28 | Chantilly | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 22/03/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 09/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 19/05/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 47% | -0.22 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |