10
Bello Leo
4yo Gelding · 8-12
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-17 | Vichy | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-06-06 | Nancy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-05-26 | Marseille-borely | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-04-16 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength1%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/11/2024 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 02/12/2024 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 16/12/2024 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/04/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 26/05/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 06/06/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 17/07/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 30/07/2025 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 15/08/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |