2
Gaidar
7yo Gelding · 9-13
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Deauville | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-07-07 | Chantilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Chantilly | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/2025 | 12th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 19/05/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 6/5 | 94% | 20% | -0.74 |
| 11/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 24/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |