13
Mahjouba
4yo Filly · 8-9
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 29/04/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 7% | -0.40 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 09/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 60% | +0.05 |
| 21/09/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 42% | -0.11 |