8
Rio Grande
6yo Gelding · 9-5
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Vittel | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/04/2026 | 14th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 29/04/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/06/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 14/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/09/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |