12

Triptajika

7yo Mare · 8-9

Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12029/0344 @ Deauville 07/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1244 @ Compiegne 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 1519/0544 @ Nancy 20/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1204 @ Aix-Les-Bains 07/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1237/0744 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 1223 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 124 · HIGHER CLASS7/0833 @ Clairefontaine 29/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 1288/094projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Lyon-Parilly41st1st0
2026-08-29Clairefontaine310th9th+1
2026-08-07Clairefontaine33rd2nd+1
2026-07-27Vittel41st1st0
2026-07-07Aix-Les-Bains49th9th0
2026-06-04ParisLongchamp40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0320/057/088/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength95%

Delivery trend +7.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/03/202612th10/147%27%-0.21
07/04/202610th7/282%25%-0.57
09/05/20269th18/15%43%+0.38
20/05/202613th22/10%8%+0.08
07/07/20269th15/261%0%-0.61
27/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
07/08/20263rd16/116%86%+0.70
29/08/202610th9/153%40%-0.13
08/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24