4
Vingt Sept
4yo Gelding · 9-12
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/11/2025 | 15th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/12/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 87% | +0.04 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |