Waldkauz
9yo Gelding · 9-9
Lyon La Soie · Prix Du Bouscat Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#10
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Vichy | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/04/2026 | 11th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 47% | +0.20 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 21/07/2026 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 03/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 21/09/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 83% | +0.78 |