13
Calas Queen
8yo Mare · 8-0
Lyon La Soie · Prix De La Cepiere Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Chantilly | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2025 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 05/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/01/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 14/02/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/03/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 30/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |