11
Dream Angel
6yo Gelding · 8-0
Lyon La Soie · Prix De La Cepiere Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#11
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 10-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 02/03/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |
| 29/04/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 23% | -0.32 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |