1
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7yo Gelding · 9-6
Lyon La Soie · Prix De La Cepiere Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 14/05/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 30/06/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 21/09/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |