6
Ridwaan
9yo Gelding · 8-12
Lyon La Soie · Prix De La Cepiere Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
94%
Place Prob
66%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Vichy | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Marseille | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 20/06/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/07/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 21/09/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |