12
Tepito
4yo Gelding · 8-0
Lyon La Soie · Prix De La Cepiere Handicap - Awt · 1m 2f 151y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Moulins | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 4 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Vichy | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 09/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 02/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/08/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 14/09/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 31% | +0.26 |