3
Niagaro
7yo Horse · 8-12
Lyon La Soie · Prix De Villeurbanne Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength60%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Dieppe | 2 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2022-11-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2022 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 63% | -0.22 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 28/06/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 15/09/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |