Rigolettos
4yo Colt · 8-8
Lyon La Soie · Prix De Villeurbanne Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Marseille | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Marseille | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Marseille | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 08/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 22/03/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 46% | -0.17 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |