Zilya
7yo Mare · 8-5
Lyon La Soie · Prix De Villeurbanne Claiming Stakes - Awt · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 14th | 12th | +2 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | 2 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 15th | 13th | +2 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 10/04/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/05/2026 | 15th | 22/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 19/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 18/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/09/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |