3
Gwo Ka
4yo Gelding · 8-11
Lyon La Soie · Prix Des Jeunes Stakes - Awt · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength31%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Deauville | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Compiegne | 3 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/05/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/06/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 03/08/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |
| 18/08/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |