7
Karmina Bella
6yo Mare · 8-8
Lyon La Soie · Prix Des Jeunes Stakes - Awt · 1m 3f 204y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-17 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-11 | Strasbourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength22%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 05/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 24/10/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 11/11/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 28/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |
| 15/12/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 13/09/2026 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 7% | -0.51 |