8
Rolexxa
4yo Filly · 8-8
Lyon La Soie · Prix Des Jeunes Stakes - Awt · 1m 3f 204y
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Strasbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Strasbourg | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 57% | -0.01 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 13/09/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.17 |
| 20/09/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |