1
Ilton Beauregard
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Acacias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#1
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
87%
Place Prob
64%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength54%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.4
Today: 7
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 6 | +1 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Marseille-borely | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Marseille-borely | 7 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Marseille-borely | 7 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-28 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/02/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 20/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 79% | +0.13 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |