8
Kerozen
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Acacias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength10%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-10 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 5 | +2 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-02-20 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 14/12/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 79% | +0.52 |
| 06/01/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 08/02/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 20/02/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 10/03/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 27/08/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |