2
Kocktail Love
6yo Horse · 0-0
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Acacias - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength21%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 7
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Marseille-borely | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-27 | Marseille-borely | 6 | +1 | ||
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 6 | +1 | ||
| 2026-06-12 | Feurs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Marseille-borely | 4 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/05/2024 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 05/08/2024 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/07/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 08/09/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |