2
Icare Des Champs
8yo Gelding · 9-13
Marseille-borely · Prix Des Saponaires - Monte · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 11.3 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Marseille-borely | 6 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Marseille-borely | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-02-03 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 13th | 12th | +1 |
| 2026-01-05 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 6 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Marseille | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/08/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 23/09/2025 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/10/2025 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 14/11/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/01/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/01/2026 | 13th | 125/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 03/06/2026 | 14th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |